miércoles, 19 de diciembre de 2012

The role of ICTs in our quest for growth


The role of ICTs in our quest for growth

In the film “Being There”, Mr. Chance -brilliantly portrayed by Peter Sellers- is a humble gardener whose simplistic comments on political issues accidently put him in the media spotlight. When queried about his thoughts on economic growth through temporary incentives by President Bobby (Jack Warden), Mr. Chance amazes the listening crowd with his audacious reply: “As long as the roots are not severed, all is well. And all will be well in the garden.”

In the garden of Europe we are witnessing ferocious yet absurd debates between the spending-cutting frenzied conservatives, and the all-you-can-eat progressives, who consider austerity and growth as mutually exclusive options. 

From a true liberal perspective, the problem is that the debate antagonizes a result (growth), and a strategy (austerity). I am naïve enough to think everybody wants things to go well, and economic growth is the ultimate goal for both Tyrians and Trojans.

If we rationally consider growth as an output from the decision-making processes to reshape Europe’s economic structure and to make it more efficient and competitive, the focus should be on how we raise our performance indicators.

Growth is the consequence of the rational fulfillment of individuals’ expectations to live better. Growth is, or should be, the aggregated life improvement of millions of workers, entrepreneurs, students, taxpayers, senior citizens, politicians (yes, them too) etc.

In an increasingly globalized economic eco-system, ICT is playing a crucial role for companies, citizens and institutions in raising competitiveness and fueling growth. We could easily be tempted to compare the impact of ICT on the economy, with the impact of steam engines in the 18th century, which unleashed not just the industrial revolution, but an enhancement of life conditions for humans everywhere.

The main difference resides in the fact that the industrial revolution was capital intensive and required large amounts of money to investment in equipment, whereas ICT is much more accessible. Digital businesses, and processes can be a lot more affordable than the technologies required for building a steel mill or a turbine factory.  This is allowing developing countries to leapfrog waves of technological development, thus placing them in a much more competitive position in virtually no time.

If we convene that growth is fueled by expectations, it is easy to infer that ICT will play an enabling role in their fulfillment. Our children, Europe’s digital natives, expect everything they see to be interactive, immediate and accessible. Today, many 2 year olds get disappointed when they touch a picture on a paper book and a video will not play. By the time they get their first paycheck they will not be keen to have to step into a tax or bank office, or to have to go to the doctor because of a cold or a seasonal health check. They will not be spending precious minutes of their lives opening letters from banks, insurance companies or relatives. They will not be wasting fuel to go and cast their vote on elections or even to publicly demonstrate against Government measures. They will reject the idea of having to fill out forms or to enter their personal data, every time they feel attracted by a promotional campaign of their favorite whiskey brand.

We can visualize the expectations of the future. We see great avenues for growth and opportunities to seize. But how can we get there? How does ICT spur growth? How can we raise the ICT profile in Europe? Should the EU institutions allocate millions of euros to politically designed ICT initiatives?

 Last June, Neelie Kroes, Vice-President of the European Commission responsible for the Digital Agenda, gave a speech at the Digital Agenda Assembly, where she highlighted the five main priorities which will most likely be the backbone of all EU-backed initiatives: the Cloud, broadband, security, innovation, and public services.

I would like to highlight three main streams where those ICT initiatives could play a pivotal role in the overall improvement of our economy: leading innovation through successful new start-ups, improvement of competitiveness of incumbent businesses, and increase of efficiency in public administration,.

In the particular case of start-ups, there are today hundreds of thousands of projects inside the minds of brilliant students and researchers at our schools and universities. These talented individuals could welcome some improvement in the conditions to start up, and additional support to transform their ideas into successful companies. If the state of the economy reflects the entrepreneurship-friendly eco-system of any given country, it doesn’t come as a surprise the bad position Spain occupies in all rankings, when its regulations and incentives to new entrepreneurs are compared with the rest of the world.

The EU should consider initiatives designed to build a new breed of European Entrepreneurs. These initiatives could include a European registry for start-ups. Those start-ups could be regulated directly, and exclusively by the EU. Taxes (when applicable) paid by those start-ups should be paid directly to the EU. And the EU could very well encourage the creation of a truly European “NASDAQ” stock exchange.

In a free economy, incumbent businesses should have the necessary means to identify the ICT assets that suit them best to remain competitive. SMEs may have more trouble to remain vigilant, and responsive to technological breakthroughs that could challenge their leading positions in their respective markets. That notwithstanding, should not justify the policy of subsidies we have been taxed to support in recent years. It is preferable to pay less taxes, which are sure, and recurrent expenses for all companies, than to give them the option to win the lottery of the subsidies whose beneficiaries are only few, and often the same.

Most EU countries face a similar problem: public deficit. In other words, we basically spend more than we earn.  How can governments be more efficient? There are only three options: Either they increase revenues, or they reduce spending, or, they do both.

We need our governments to be bold and decisive in the difficult times ahead. We need governments to increase efficiency, reduce spending and diminish their financial needs. This has not only a colossal economic impact allowing companies and citizens to improve their marginal propensity to invest or consume, their lives will be a lot easier as red tape is reduced, response times from the administrations are shortened, and public services become completely accessible for everyone. We need governments to be “smart” and lead by example in being more competitive by using ICTs.

We need lean administrations, in lieu of, slow, overstaffed, inefficient government bodies, that we have today. A reduction of taxes would encourage investors and entrepreneurs, and it also paves the way for the creation of new jobs in much better conditions for everyone.

In the house of Europe, we have a garden with more gardeners than trees. And the gardeners appointed to water the dying trees are using the scarce water to clean the façade instead.  Our common roots are strong and deep. It’s time to get a high tech irrigation system, which will save water, will revitalize the trees, and will make things to really be well in our garden.